Sonntag, 10. Dezember 2017

Setups for the week ahead 11.12.-15.12.17

EUR vs CAD

Bullish bias for the week.

Weekly chart of EUR vs CAD
EUR vs CAD W1
This is the weekly chart of EUR vs CAD. Last week failed to violate the 1,50 level and formed a Rejection Candle. This puts my bias in favour of the bulls.

XAU vs USD

Bearish bias for the week.

Weekly chart of XAU vs USD
XAU vs USD W1
This is the weekly chart of Gold. Price did break the higher low to the downside and made a close below 1.250. This puts my bias in favour of the bears. We have the beginning signs of a trend shift.

USDOLLAR

Bullish bias for the week.

Weekly chart of USDOLLAR
FXCM USDOLLAR
This is the weekly chart of FXCM USDOLLAR. Last week close did complete the Morning Star Pattern. This is a bullish reversal pattern. But what's more important is, the question wheather this asset built a higher low. At the moment it appears like the establishment of a higher low. The close above the 12 level puts my bias in favour of the bulls. I am not trading this asset, but I like to use this asset to establish trading ideas on other assets such as EUR vs USD etc.

EUR vs USD

Mixed signal.

Weekly chart of EUR vs USD
EUR vs USD W1
This is the weekly chart of EUR vs USD. This asset is in a bullish trend. Currently we don't know if the pullback is over and we'll see a continuation of the bullish trend. We may also see the beginning signs of a trend shift followed by a deeper correction (or even a trend change). Last week did complete the Evening Star Pattern, which is a bearish reversal pattern. This asset made about 1.500 pips without really a pullback since April this year. With a bullish Dollar bias, chances are in favour of the Evening Star Pattern on this asset. Time will tell. I still would like to see a test of the black horizontal line, ideally of the green rectangle.

Ger30

Bullish bias for the week.

Weekly chart of Ger30
Ger30 W1

This is the weekly chart of Ger30/DAX30. Last week did close as a Bullish Engulfing Pattern at a relevant level. This is not an ideal Bullish Engulfing Pattern is the engulfing pattern failed to close above the previous candle. However, the pattern is valid and it is at a relevant level. We trade what we see. And that is a bullish pattern at a level of interest. Additionally we have a closing price above the 13.000 level. All this puts my bias in favour of the bulls.

Copper

Bearish bias for the week.

Weekly chart of Copper
Copper W1
This is the weekly chart of Copper. This asset is in a bullish trend. However, my bias for the week ahead is counter the prevailing trend. Price did close the first time below a higher low. This catches my attention. This is not a shift of trend yet.

USD vs CHF

Bullish bias for the week.

Weekly chart of USD vs CHF
USD vs CHF W1
This is the weekly chart of USD vs CHF. Price formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern at a level of interest. See to the left, you'll see a break of a lower high. Price did pull back to this level and formed a bullish reversal pattern. This puts my bias in favour of the bulls. Additionally, the USDOLLAR Index (FXCM USD Index) also suggests bullishness. Basically below parity I would rather maintain a neutral of negative biase, but market structure suggests bullishness.

EUR vs GBP

Mixed signal.

Weekly chart of EUR vs GBP
EUR vs GBP W1

This is the weekly chart of EUR vs GBP. I was debating with myself whether or not to list this asset. As you can tell, I decided in favour of the latter. Price is in a narrow trading range, which I like to call a congestion zone. It is not advised to trade inside the congestion. However, I like how last the week Rejection Candle formed right on top of support. This suggests strength at this level. A close below the lower red horizontal line would negate this putative strength.

AUD vs CAD

Bullish bias for the week.

Weekly chart of AUD vs CAD
AUD vs CAD W1
This is the weekly chart of AUD vs CAD. This is an asset that likes to wick a lot. So keep this in mind trading AUD vs CAD. Price shows resistance to move south. Last week did close as a Rejection Candle. Price tried to violate the swing low but failed to do so. This puts my bias in favour of the bulls.

It seems the week ahead will be an interesting one. USD appears to be the srongest asset for the week ahead. Many trading opportunities do not necessarily mean to take many trades. I hope you find my weekly analysis useful in your journey as a trader.

If you have any questions or feedback please leave them in the comments section below.

Happy trading,
TT

Sonntag, 3. Dezember 2017

Setups for the week ahead 04.12.-08.12.2017

EUR vs CAD

Bearish bias for the week.

Weekly chart of EUR vs CAD
EUR vs CAD W1
This is the weekly chart of EUR vs CAD. Last week did close as a Shooting Star. The week did close with good CAD news. Price failed to break the swing high. This puts my bias for the week ahead in favour of the bears. Price is testing the resistance level. I am not inclined to look for short opportunities above 1,50. As long price is above 1,50 I am willing to give the market the chance to break resistance.

NZD vs JPY

Mixed signal.

Weekly chart of NZD vs JPY
NZD vs JPY W1

This is the weekly chart of NZD vs JPY. Price shows all signs of a trend shift with a lower high and a lower low. There is a good chance we may see a test of the 75 level. That is the next critical level. But there is no bearish weekly setup, hence the label "mixed signal." It is weel worth to keep an eye on this asset. I'll get more interested once price gets closer to the critical level.

AUD vs NZD

Bullish bias for the week.

Weekly chart of AUD vs NZD
AUD vs NZD W1
This is the weekly chart of AUD vs NZD. Last week did close as a Hammer. This is a bullish reversal pattern. I did talk about this asset and some other Aussie related pairs last week (see here).

US Oil

Mixed signal.

Weekly chart of US Oil
US Oil W1

This is the weekly chart of US Oil. There is no setup as of yet. But price is approaching an interestig level. That's why this asset is listed here. Last week did close as a Hanging Man, which is a bearish reversal pattern. However, a Hanging Man needs to get confirmed. I personally do not like trading Hanging Man formations, cause these can also be interpreted as a bullish pattern representing a rejection of lower prices. Count three candles back and you see a nice Hanging Man formation. That's why we need to wait for confirmation of a Hanging Man. For now, all I care is the level. And the level is interesting.

If you have feedbacks or any questions, please leave them in the comments section below.

Happy trading,
TT